Electoral volatility in Belgium (2009–2014). Is there a difference between stable and volatile voters?


Increasing voter volatility has led to a renewed research interest in determinants of party switching. While previous research has mainly focused on the characteristics of volatile voters, less is known about how stable and volatile voters decide what party to vote for. Using panel data spanning two consecutive electoral cycles in Belgium, this study starts with the confirmation of earlier findings: we show that widely used determinants like political sophistication and disaffection add only modestly to our understanding of volatility. In a next step, we examine the vote choice process of stable and volatile voters. Our results indicate that in terms of determinants of the vote choice the two groups are somewhat different. In line with theoretical expectations about the effects of stronger voter volatility, we find that party-switchers are guided more by proximity evaluations. The implication of these results is that party-switchers might actually be enriching represen- tative democracy. We close with some observations on how this finding qualifies our
theoretical understanding of increasing levels of electoral volatility in liberal democracies


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Detail Information

Bagian Informasi
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab Jurnal Internasional
Pengarang Dassonneville, Ruth - Personal Name (Pengarang)
Stiers, Dieter - Personal Name (Pengarang)
Edisi Publish
No. Panggil
Subyek Representative democracy
Election results
Panel data
Democracy
Political parties
Voting
Elections
Expectations
Voters
Volatility
Klasifikasi
Judul Seri
GMD Text
Bahasa English
Penerbit Palgrave Macmillan
Tahun Terbit 2018
Tempat Terbit London
Deskripsi Fisik pp 68–97
Info Detil Spesifik Journal Acta Politica Volume 52, Issue :1, 2018


Citation

Dassonneville, Ruth. (2018).Electoral volatility in Belgium (2009–2014). Is there a difference between stable and volatile voters?(Publish).London:Palgrave Macmillan

Dassonneville, Ruth.Electoral volatility in Belgium (2009–2014). Is there a difference between stable and volatile voters?(Publish).London:Palgrave Macmillan,2018.Text

Dassonneville, Ruth.Electoral volatility in Belgium (2009–2014). Is there a difference between stable and volatile voters?(Publish).London:Palgrave Macmillan,2018.Text

Dassonneville, Ruth.Electoral volatility in Belgium (2009–2014). Is there a difference between stable and volatile voters?(Publish).London:Palgrave Macmillan,2018.Text

 



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